ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
18%82%
probability at match start · final 2:13
BBL#49 in the world · win 13:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeXEPT ban
50%53%
XEPT · 0 mapsnearly even -3%BBL · 13 maps
MirageBBL ban
40%42%
XEPT · 1 mapnearly even -2%BBL · 8 maps
InfernoXEPT ban
40%55%
XEPT · 1 mapedge BBL +15%BBL · 7 maps
CacheBBL ban
50%33%
XEPT · 0 mapsedge XEPT +17%BBL · 5 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%50%
XEPT · 0 mapsnearly even +0%BBL · 4 maps
DefaultXEPT ban
50%67%
XEPT · 0 mapsedge BBL +17%BBL · 2 maps
AnubisBBL ban
50%40%
XEPT · 0 mapsedge XEPT +10%BBL · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanXEPT remove Nuke
2. BanBBL remove Anubis
3. BanXEPT remove Inferno
4. BanBBL remove Cache
5. BanXEPT remove Default
6. BanBBL remove Mirage
DeciderAncient (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed2:13
XEPT 50%BBL 50%
The model gave 50% on XEPT — the map was taken by BBL.
Model check result
Model favoriteBBL · 82%
Series resultBBL 2:13
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1