CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Yawara#156 in the world · win 2:0series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Yawara pick
65%29%
Yawara · 13 mapsedge Yawara +36%Blitzkrieg · 3 maps
Miragepossible decider
64%50%
Yawara · 10 mapsedge Yawara +14%Blitzkrieg · 0 maps
AncientBlitzkrieg pick
38%50%
Yawara · 9 mapsedge Blitzkrieg +12%Blitzkrieg · 0 maps
AnubisYawara ban
44%40%
Yawara · 5 mapsnearly even +4%Blitzkrieg · 1 map
InfernoBlitzkrieg ban
50%50%
Yawara · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Blitzkrieg · 0 maps
NukeYawara ban
50%33%
Yawara · 0 mapsedge Yawara +17%Blitzkrieg · 2 maps
OverpassBlitzkrieg ban
67%50%
Yawara · 2 mapsedge Yawara +17%Blitzkrieg · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanYawara remove Nuke
2. BanBlitzkrieg remove Overpass
3. PickYawara take Dust2
4. PickBlitzkrieg take Ancient
5. BanBlitzkrieg remove Inferno
6. BanYawara remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (64% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:4
Yawara 80%Blitzkrieg 20%
The model gave 80% on Yawara — the map was taken by Yawara.
Mirageprediction correct13:5
Yawara 67%Blitzkrieg 33%
The model gave 67% on Yawara — the map was taken by Yawara.
Model check result
Model favoriteYawara · 71%
Series resultYawara 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2