BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Yawara#156 in the world · win 2:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Yawara pick
69%56%
Yawara · 9 mapsedge Yawara +13%ex-KRÜ · 5 maps
Infernopossible decider
50%33%
Yawara · 6 mapsedge Yawara +17%ex-KRÜ · 2 maps
Mirageex-KRÜ pick
64%60%
Yawara · 7 mapsnearly even +4%ex-KRÜ · 1 map
AncientYawara ban
29%33%
Yawara · 3 mapsnearly even -4%ex-KRÜ · 2 maps
Anubisex-KRÜ ban
43%50%
Yawara · 3 mapsedge ex-KRÜ +7%ex-KRÜ · 0 maps
NukeYawara ban
50%57%
Yawara · 0 mapsedge ex-KRÜ +7%ex-KRÜ · 3 maps
Overpassex-KRÜ ban
60%40%
Yawara · 1 mapedge Yawara +20%ex-KRÜ · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanYawara remove Nuke
2. Banex-KRÜ remove Anubis
3. PickYawara take Dust2
4. Pickex-KRÜ take Mirage
5. Banex-KRÜ remove Overpass
6. BanYawara remove Ancient
DeciderInferno (50% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:3
Yawara 51%ex-KRÜ 49%
The model gave 51% on Yawara — the map was taken by Yawara.
Dust2prediction correct13:4
Yawara 67%ex-KRÜ 33%
The model gave 67% on Yawara — the map was taken by Yawara.
Model check result
Model favoriteYawara · 55%
Series resultYawara 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2