Thunderpick World Championship 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Yawara#156 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:2
MIBR Academy#134 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageYawara pick
65%62%
Yawara · 16 mapsnearly even +3%MIBR Academy · 9 maps
Ancientpossible decider
41%40%
Yawara · 13 mapsnearly even +1%MIBR Academy · 11 maps
Dust2MIBR Academy ban
65%33%
Yawara · 16 mapsedge Yawara +32%MIBR Academy · 5 maps
NukeYawara ban
50%59%
Yawara · 0 mapsedge MIBR Academy +9%MIBR Academy · 13 maps
AnubisMIBR Academy pick
45%50%
Yawara · 7 mapsedge MIBR Academy +5%MIBR Academy · 4 maps
InfernoMIBR Academy ban
50%50%
Yawara · 8 mapsnearly even +0%MIBR Academy · 0 maps
OverpassYawara ban
67%38%
Yawara · 2 mapsedge Yawara +29%MIBR Academy · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanYawara remove Nuke
2. BanMIBR Academy remove Inferno
3. PickYawara take Mirage
4. PickMIBR Academy take Anubis
5. BanMIBR Academy remove Dust2
6. BanYawara remove Overpass
DeciderAncient (41% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct11:13
Yawara 47%MIBR Academy 53%
The model gave 53% on MIBR Academy — the map was taken by MIBR Academy.
Mirageprediction missed11:13
Yawara 57%MIBR Academy 43%
The model gave 57% on Yawara — the map was taken by MIBR Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteYawara · 60%
Series resultMIBR Academy 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2