Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
ZEVSloss 0:2series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Just Swing#173 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeZEVS pick
67%63%
ZEVS · 2 mapsnearly even +4%Just Swing · 4 maps
Dust2Just Swing pick
40%50%
ZEVS · 1 mapedge Just Swing +10%Just Swing · 2 maps
InfernoZEVS ban
40%50%
ZEVS · 1 mapedge Just Swing +10%Just Swing · 2 maps
DefaultJust Swing ban
50%33%
ZEVS · 0 mapsedge ZEVS +17%Just Swing · 2 maps
AncientJust Swing ban
50%60%
ZEVS · 0 mapsedge Just Swing +10%Just Swing · 1 map
AnubisZEVS ban
50%60%
ZEVS · 0 mapsedge Just Swing +10%Just Swing · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanZEVS remove Anubis
2. BanJust Swing remove Default
3. PickZEVS take Nuke
4. PickJust Swing take Dust2
5. BanJust Swing remove Ancient
6. BanZEVS remove Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed5:13
ZEVS 53%Just Swing 47%
The model gave 53% on ZEVS — the map was taken by Just Swing.
Dust2prediction correct4:13
ZEVS 37%Just Swing 63%
The model gave 63% on Just Swing — the map was taken by Just Swing.
Model check result
Model favoriteJust Swing · 58%
Series resultJust Swing 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2