ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe · BO3
result vs prediction
ZOTIXwin 2:1series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 2:1
B8 Academy#177 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoB8 Academy pick
40%67%
ZOTIX · 1 mapedge B8 Academy +27%B8 Academy · 2 maps
MirageZOTIX ban
50%67%
ZOTIX · 0 mapsedge B8 Academy +17%B8 Academy · 2 maps
AncientB8 Academy ban
40%50%
ZOTIX · 1 mapedge B8 Academy +10%B8 Academy · 0 maps
AnubisZOTIX pick
50%40%
ZOTIX · 0 mapsedge ZOTIX +10%B8 Academy · 1 map
Dust2B8 Academy ban
50%40%
ZOTIX · 0 mapsedge ZOTIX +10%B8 Academy · 1 map
NukeZOTIX ban
50%60%
ZOTIX · 0 mapsedge B8 Academy +10%B8 Academy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanZOTIX remove Nuke
2. BanB8 Academy remove Ancient
3. PickZOTIX take Anubis
4. PickB8 Academy take Inferno
5. BanB8 Academy remove Dust2
6. BanZOTIX remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:10
ZOTIX 43%B8 Academy 57%
The model gave 57% on B8 Academy — the map was taken by ZOTIX.
Mirageprediction correct9:13
ZOTIX 31%B8 Academy 69%
The model gave 69% on B8 Academy — the map was taken by B8 Academy.
Infernoprediction missed13:2
ZOTIX 25%B8 Academy 75%
The model gave 75% on B8 Academy — the map was taken by ZOTIX.
Model check result
Model favoriteB8 Academy · 58%
Series resultZOTIX 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3