IEM Beijing 2026 Open Qualifier · BO1
result vs prediction
100 Thieves#37 in the world · win 13:6series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 13:6
INOX Division#66 in the world · loss 6:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2INOX Division ban
74%60%
100 Thieves · 15 mapsedge 100 Thieves +14%INOX Division · 16 maps
Infernopossible decider
45%65%
100 Thieves · 7 mapsedge INOX Division +20%INOX Division · 22 maps
AncientINOX Division ban
57%60%
100 Thieves · 10 mapsnearly even -3%INOX Division · 16 maps
Nuke100 Thieves ban
50%70%
100 Thieves · 8 mapsedge INOX Division +20%INOX Division · 16 maps
Anubis100 Thieves ban
45%46%
100 Thieves · 7 mapsnearly even -1%INOX Division · 9 maps
MirageINOX Division ban
60%50%
100 Thieves · 6 mapsedge 100 Thieves +10%INOX Division · 0 maps
Cache100 Thieves ban
50%56%
100 Thieves · 0 mapsedge INOX Division +6%INOX Division · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban100 Thieves remove Cache
2. BanINOX Division remove Mirage
3. Ban100 Thieves remove Anubis
4. BanINOX Division remove Ancient
5. Ban100 Thieves remove Nuke
6. BanINOX Division remove Dust2
DeciderInferno (45% / 65%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:6
100 Thieves 30%INOX Division 70%
The model gave 70% on INOX Division — the map was taken by 100 Thieves.
Model check result
Model favorite100 Thieves · 71%
Series result100 Thieves 13:6
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1