CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Rune Eaters#88 in the world · win 2:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Bushido Wildcats#84 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientBushido Wildcats ban
57%50%
Rune Eaters · 3 mapsedge Rune Eaters +7%Bushido Wildcats · 0 maps
Dust2Rune Eaters pick
50%50%
Rune Eaters · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Bushido Wildcats · 0 maps
InfernoRune Eaters ban
50%50%
Rune Eaters · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Bushido Wildcats · 0 maps
MirageBushido Wildcats pick
33%50%
Rune Eaters · 2 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +17%Bushido Wildcats · 0 maps
DefaultBushido Wildcats ban
60%50%
Rune Eaters · 1 mapedge Rune Eaters +10%Bushido Wildcats · 0 maps
OverpassRune Eaters ban
40%50%
Rune Eaters · 1 mapedge Bushido Wildcats +10%Bushido Wildcats · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanRune Eaters remove Overpass
2. BanBushido Wildcats remove Default
3. PickRune Eaters take Dust2
4. PickBushido Wildcats take Mirage
5. BanBushido Wildcats remove Ancient
6. BanRune Eaters remove Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct16:12
Rune Eaters 53%Bushido Wildcats 47%
The model gave 53% on Rune Eaters — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Mirageprediction missed13:6
Rune Eaters 31%Bushido Wildcats 69%
The model gave 69% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 55%
Series resultRune Eaters 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2