BetBoom Storm Season 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
BESTIA#65 in the world · win 2:0series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:0
METANOIA Wolves#210 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BESTIA pick
71%50%
BESTIA · 13 mapsedge BESTIA +21%METANOIA Wolves · 12 maps
AncientMETANOIA Wolves pick
56%55%
BESTIA · 5 mapsnearly even +1%METANOIA Wolves · 7 maps
NukeMETANOIA Wolves ban
60%44%
BESTIA · 6 mapsedge BESTIA +16%METANOIA Wolves · 5 maps
InfernoBESTIA ban
33%38%
BESTIA · 5 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +5%METANOIA Wolves · 4 maps
MirageMETANOIA Wolves ban
71%25%
BESTIA · 3 mapsedge BESTIA +46%METANOIA Wolves · 4 maps
Cachepossible decider
50%33%
BESTIA · 4 mapsedge BESTIA +17%METANOIA Wolves · 2 maps
DefaultBESTIA ban
50%44%
BESTIA · 0 mapsedge BESTIA +6%METANOIA Wolves · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBESTIA remove Inferno
2. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Mirage
3. PickBESTIA take Dust2
4. PickMETANOIA Wolves take Ancient
5. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Nuke
6. BanBESTIA remove Default
DeciderCache (50% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:8
BESTIA 68%METANOIA Wolves 32%
The model gave 68% on BESTIA — the map was taken by BESTIA.
Mirageprediction correct13:5
BESTIA 89%METANOIA Wolves 11%
The model gave 89% on BESTIA — the map was taken by BESTIA.
Model check result
Model favoriteBESTIA · 77%
Series resultBESTIA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2