Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
5star#127 in the world · win 2:0series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 2:0
JiJieHao#29 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2JiJieHao pick
40%67%
5star · 1 mapedge JiJieHao +27%JiJieHao · 2 maps
AncientJiJieHao ban
50%60%
5star · 0 mapsedge JiJieHao +10%JiJieHao · 1 map
Inferno5star pick
60%50%
5star · 1 mapedge 5star +10%JiJieHao · 0 maps
Mirage5star ban
50%40%
5star · 0 mapsedge 5star +10%JiJieHao · 1 map
NukeJiJieHao ban
60%50%
5star · 1 mapedge 5star +10%JiJieHao · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban5star remove Mirage
2. BanJiJieHao remove Nuke
3. Pick5star take Inferno
4. PickJiJieHao take Dust2
5. BanJiJieHao remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:8
5star 37%JiJieHao 63%
The model gave 63% on JiJieHao — the map was taken by 5star.
Anubisprediction correct13:8
5star 53%JiJieHao 47%
The model gave 53% on 5star — the map was taken by 5star.
Model check result
Model favoriteJiJieHao · 63%
Series result5star 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2