CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
aAa#132 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
G2 Ares#103 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2aAa pick
33%60%
aAa · 5 mapsedge G2 Ares +27%G2 Ares · 1 map
MirageaAa ban
50%56%
aAa · 0 mapsedge G2 Ares +6%G2 Ares · 5 maps
AncientG2 Ares pick
29%60%
aAa · 3 mapsedge G2 Ares +31%G2 Ares · 1 map
NukeG2 Ares ban
29%50%
aAa · 3 mapsedge G2 Ares +21%G2 Ares · 0 maps
Infernopossible decider
40%40%
aAa · 1 mapnearly even +0%G2 Ares · 1 map
OverpassaAa ban
40%40%
aAa · 1 mapnearly even +0%G2 Ares · 1 map
AnubisG2 Ares ban
60%50%
aAa · 1 mapedge aAa +10%G2 Ares · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanaAa remove Mirage
2. BanG2 Ares remove Nuke
3. PickaAa take Dust2
4. PickG2 Ares take Ancient
5. BanG2 Ares remove Anubis
6. BanaAa remove Overpass
DeciderInferno (40% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct16:19
aAa 47%G2 Ares 53%
The model gave 53% on G2 Ares — the map was taken by G2 Ares.
Dust2prediction correct8:13
aAa 27%G2 Ares 73%
The model gave 73% on G2 Ares — the map was taken by G2 Ares.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Ares · 52%
Series resultG2 Ares 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2