ANZC Locals Brisbane 2026 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Abyssal#165 in the world · win 2:1series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Mindfreak#213 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoMindfreak pick
33%42%
Abyssal · 8 mapsedge Mindfreak +9%Mindfreak · 15 maps
MirageAbyssal pick
79%62%
Abyssal · 10 mapsedge Abyssal +17%Mindfreak · 9 maps
NukeAbyssal ban
33%43%
Abyssal · 5 mapsedge Mindfreak +10%Mindfreak · 10 maps
Dust2Mindfreak ban
64%29%
Abyssal · 7 mapsedge Abyssal +35%Mindfreak · 3 maps
Ancientpossible decider
57%44%
Abyssal · 3 mapsedge Abyssal +13%Mindfreak · 5 maps
AnubisAbyssal ban
40%33%
Abyssal · 1 mapedge Abyssal +7%Mindfreak · 5 maps
CacheMindfreak ban
67%43%
Abyssal · 2 mapsedge Abyssal +24%Mindfreak · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAbyssal remove Anubis
2. BanMindfreak remove Dust2
3. PickAbyssal take Mirage
4. PickMindfreak take Inferno
5. BanMindfreak remove Cache
6. BanAbyssal remove Nuke
DeciderAncient (57% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct5:13
Abyssal 43%Mindfreak 57%
The model gave 57% on Mindfreak — the map was taken by Mindfreak.
Ancientprediction correct13:7
Abyssal 60%Mindfreak 40%
The model gave 60% on Abyssal — the map was taken by Abyssal.
Dust2prediction correct13:10
Abyssal 81%Mindfreak 19%
The model gave 81% on Abyssal — the map was taken by Abyssal.
Model check result
Model favoriteAbyssal · 56%
Series resultAbyssal 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3