CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
AM#57 in the world · win 2:1series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Lazer Cats#117 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2AM ban
18%25%
AM · 7 mapsedge Lazer Cats +7%Lazer Cats · 4 maps
AncientLazer Cats pick
44%56%
AM · 5 mapsedge Lazer Cats +12%Lazer Cats · 5 maps
NukeLazer Cats ban
58%60%
AM · 8 mapsnearly even -2%Lazer Cats · 1 map
InfernoAM pick
63%57%
AM · 4 mapsedge AM +6%Lazer Cats · 3 maps
Miragepossible decider
63%43%
AM · 4 mapsedge AM +20%Lazer Cats · 3 maps
OverpassLazer Cats ban
67%50%
AM · 5 mapsedge AM +17%Lazer Cats · 0 maps
AnubisAM ban
50%50%
AM · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Lazer Cats · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAM remove Anubis
2. BanLazer Cats remove Overpass
3. PickAM take Inferno
4. PickLazer Cats take Ancient
5. BanLazer Cats remove Nuke
6. BanAM remove Dust2
DeciderMirage (63% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:7
AM 43%Lazer Cats 57%
The model gave 57% on Lazer Cats — the map was taken by AM.
Ancientprediction correct5:13
AM 36%Lazer Cats 64%
The model gave 64% on Lazer Cats — the map was taken by Lazer Cats.
Infernoprediction correct13:8
AM 56%Lazer Cats 44%
The model gave 56% on AM — the map was taken by AM.
Model check result
Model favoriteAM · 63%
Series resultAM 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3