ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
17%83%
probability at match start · final 3:13
SINNERS#45 in the world · win 13:3The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Anteiku ban
40%63%
Anteiku · 1 mapedge SINNERS +23%SINNERS · 20 maps
Miragepossible decider
40%57%
Anteiku · 1 mapedge SINNERS +17%SINNERS · 17 maps
AncientAnteiku ban
40%61%
Anteiku · 1 mapedge SINNERS +21%SINNERS · 14 maps
CacheSINNERS ban
50%42%
Anteiku · 0 mapsedge Anteiku +8%SINNERS · 15 maps
InfernoSINNERS ban
60%40%
Anteiku · 1 mapedge Anteiku +20%SINNERS · 11 maps
NukeAnteiku ban
50%45%
Anteiku · 0 mapsedge Anteiku +5%SINNERS · 7 maps
AnubisSINNERS ban
40%50%
Anteiku · 1 mapedge SINNERS +10%SINNERS · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAnteiku remove Nuke
2. BanSINNERS remove Anubis
3. BanAnteiku remove Dust2
4. BanSINNERS remove Inferno
5. BanAnteiku remove Ancient
6. BanSINNERS remove Cache
DeciderMirage (40% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct3:13
Anteiku 33%SINNERS 67%
The model gave 67% on SINNERS — the map was taken by SINNERS.
Model check result
Model favoriteSINNERS · 83%
Series resultSINNERS 3:13
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1