CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
ARCRED#121 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageJust Players pick
40%51%
ARCRED · 6 mapsedge Just Players +11%Just Players · 33 maps
Dust2Just Players ban
64%39%
ARCRED · 7 mapsedge ARCRED +25%Just Players · 24 maps
AncientARCRED ban
30%59%
ARCRED · 6 mapsedge Just Players +29%Just Players · 23 maps
NukeARCRED ban
43%47%
ARCRED · 3 mapsnearly even -4%Just Players · 13 maps
AnubisARCRED pick
75%70%
ARCRED · 8 mapsedge ARCRED +5%Just Players · 6 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%67%
ARCRED · 2 mapsedge Just Players +17%Just Players · 5 maps
CacheJust Players ban
40%33%
ARCRED · 1 mapedge ARCRED +7%Just Players · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanARCRED remove Nuke
2. BanJust Players remove Cache
3. PickARCRED take Anubis
4. PickJust Players take Mirage
5. BanJust Players remove Dust2
6. BanARCRED remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (50% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:7
ARCRED 75%Just Players 25%
The model gave 75% on ARCRED — the map was taken by ARCRED.
Ancientprediction correct13:16
ARCRED 21%Just Players 79%
The model gave 79% on Just Players — the map was taken by Just Players.
Mirageprediction correct11:13
ARCRED 39%Just Players 61%
The model gave 61% on Just Players — the map was taken by Just Players.
Model check result
Model favoriteARCRED · 51%
Series resultJust Players 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3