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CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Atreides#147 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The Last Resort#159 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageThe Last Resort ban
60%33%
Atreides · 1 mapedge Atreides +27%The Last Resort · 5 maps
NukeAtreides ban
50%40%
Atreides · 0 mapsedge Atreides +10%The Last Resort · 6 maps
OverpassThe Last Resort pick
50%63%
Atreides · 2 mapsedge The Last Resort +13%The Last Resort · 4 maps
AncientAtreides pick
60%50%
Atreides · 1 mapedge Atreides +10%The Last Resort · 4 maps
AnubisAtreides ban
50%71%
Atreides · 0 mapsedge The Last Resort +21%The Last Resort · 3 maps
InfernoThe Last Resort ban
50%43%
Atreides · 0 mapsedge Atreides +7%The Last Resort · 3 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%60%
Atreides · 1 mapnearly even +0%The Last Resort · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAtreides remove Anubis
2. BanThe Last Resort remove Mirage
3. PickAtreides take Ancient
4. PickThe Last Resort take Overpass
5. BanThe Last Resort remove Inferno
6. BanAtreides remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:7
Atreides 77%The Last Resort 23%
The model gave 77% on Atreides — the map was taken by Atreides.
Overpassprediction missed13:10
Atreides 35%The Last Resort 65%
The model gave 65% on The Last Resort — the map was taken by Atreides.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Last Resort · 59%
Series resultAtreides 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2