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ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe · BO3
result vs prediction
Banda Chuyawin 2:0
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
JUMBOloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageJUMBO pick
25%50%
Banda Chuya · 4 mapsedge JUMBO +25%JUMBO · 0 maps
AncientBanda Chuya pick
40%50%
Banda Chuya · 1 mapedge JUMBO +10%JUMBO · 0 maps
AnubisJUMBO ban
40%50%
Banda Chuya · 1 mapedge JUMBO +10%JUMBO · 0 maps
DefaultJUMBO ban
60%50%
Banda Chuya · 1 mapedge Banda Chuya +10%JUMBO · 0 maps
Dust2Banda Chuya ban
40%50%
Banda Chuya · 1 mapedge JUMBO +10%JUMBO · 0 maps
NukeBanda Chuya ban
40%50%
Banda Chuya · 1 mapedge JUMBO +10%JUMBO · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBanda Chuya remove Dust2
2. BanJUMBO remove Default
3. PickBanda Chuya take Ancient
4. PickJUMBO take Mirage
5. BanJUMBO remove Anubis
6. BanBanda Chuya remove Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:6
Banda Chuya 27%JUMBO 73%
The model gave 73% on JUMBO — the map was taken by Banda Chuya.
Ancientprediction missed13:6
Banda Chuya 37%JUMBO 63%
The model gave 63% on JUMBO — the map was taken by Banda Chuya.
Model check result
Model favoriteJUMBO · 50%
Series resultBanda Chuya 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2