Logitech G Play Connect 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
BASEMENT BOYS#96 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:2
QUAZAR#94 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeBASEMENT BOYS pick
59%54%
BASEMENT BOYS · 13 mapsedge BASEMENT BOYS +5%QUAZAR · 9 maps
MirageQUAZAR pick
57%77%
BASEMENT BOYS · 10 mapsedge QUAZAR +20%QUAZAR · 9 maps
Dust2QUAZAR ban
46%50%
BASEMENT BOYS · 9 mapsnearly even -4%QUAZAR · 8 maps
AncientQUAZAR ban
50%50%
BASEMENT BOYS · 12 mapsnearly even +0%QUAZAR · 0 maps
AnubisBASEMENT BOYS ban
63%58%
BASEMENT BOYS · 4 mapsedge BASEMENT BOYS +5%QUAZAR · 8 maps
Cachepossible decider
67%55%
BASEMENT BOYS · 5 mapsedge BASEMENT BOYS +12%QUAZAR · 7 maps
InfernoBASEMENT BOYS ban
38%60%
BASEMENT BOYS · 4 mapsedge QUAZAR +22%QUAZAR · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBASEMENT BOYS remove Inferno
2. BanQUAZAR remove Ancient
3. PickBASEMENT BOYS take Nuke
4. PickQUAZAR take Mirage
5. BanQUAZAR remove Dust2
6. BanBASEMENT BOYS remove Anubis
DeciderCache (67% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed16:13
BASEMENT BOYS 49%QUAZAR 51%
The model gave 51% on QUAZAR — the map was taken by BASEMENT BOYS.
Anubisprediction missed6:13
BASEMENT BOYS 51%QUAZAR 49%
The model gave 51% on BASEMENT BOYS — the map was taken by QUAZAR.
Cacheprediction missed6:13
BASEMENT BOYS 63%QUAZAR 37%
The model gave 63% on BASEMENT BOYS — the map was taken by QUAZAR.
Model check result
Model favoriteBASEMENT BOYS · 51%
Series resultQUAZAR 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3