BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
BESTIA Academy#172 in the world · win 2:0series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Vasco#232 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
38%40%
BESTIA Academy · 4 mapsnearly even -2%Vasco · 6 maps
InfernoVasco pick
38%56%
BESTIA Academy · 4 mapsedge Vasco +18%Vasco · 5 maps
AncientBESTIA Academy pick
44%67%
BESTIA Academy · 5 mapsedge Vasco +23%Vasco · 2 maps
MirageVasco ban
50%44%
BESTIA Academy · 2 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +6%Vasco · 5 maps
DefaultBESTIA Academy ban
50%50%
BESTIA Academy · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Vasco · 2 maps
OverpassVasco ban
40%40%
BESTIA Academy · 1 mapnearly even +0%Vasco · 1 map
AnubisBESTIA Academy ban
50%40%
BESTIA Academy · 0 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +10%Vasco · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBESTIA Academy remove Anubis
2. BanVasco remove Overpass
3. PickBESTIA Academy take Ancient
4. PickVasco take Inferno
5. BanVasco remove Mirage
6. BanBESTIA Academy remove Default
DeciderDust2 (38% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:7
BESTIA Academy 30%Vasco 70%
The model gave 70% on Vasco — the map was taken by BESTIA Academy.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
BESTIA Academy 50%Vasco 50%
The model gave 50% on BESTIA Academy — the map was taken by BESTIA Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteVasco · 68%
Series resultBESTIA Academy 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2