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CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Betclic#65 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:2
TNC#147 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientTNC pick
40%50%
Betclic · 1 mapedge TNC +10%TNC · 8 maps
Nukepossible decider
33%60%
Betclic · 2 mapsedge TNC +27%TNC · 6 maps
AnubisBetclic pick
67%63%
Betclic · 2 mapsnearly even +4%TNC · 4 maps
MirageBetclic ban
40%56%
Betclic · 1 mapedge TNC +16%TNC · 5 maps
Dust2TNC ban
50%29%
Betclic · 0 mapsedge Betclic +21%TNC · 3 maps
InfernoTNC ban
29%50%
Betclic · 3 mapsedge TNC +21%TNC · 0 maps
OverpassBetclic ban
40%33%
Betclic · 1 mapedge Betclic +7%TNC · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBetclic remove Overpass
2. BanTNC remove Inferno
3. PickBetclic take Anubis
4. PickTNC take Ancient
5. BanTNC remove Dust2
6. BanBetclic remove Mirage
DeciderNuke (33% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct11:13
Betclic 32%TNC 68%
The model gave 68% on TNC — the map was taken by TNC.
Anubisprediction correct19:17
Betclic 58%TNC 42%
The model gave 58% on Betclic — the map was taken by Betclic.
Nukeprediction correct8:13
Betclic 25%TNC 75%
The model gave 75% on TNC — the map was taken by TNC.
Model check result
Model favoriteBetclic · 60%
Series resultTNC 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3