CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Black Phoenix#57 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:2
CYBERSHOKE#90 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Black Phoenix pick
73%52%
Black Phoenix · 11 mapsedge Black Phoenix +21%CYBERSHOKE · 19 maps
MirageCYBERSHOKE pick
58%63%
Black Phoenix · 8 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +5%CYBERSHOKE · 12 maps
AncientBlack Phoenix ban
50%62%
Black Phoenix · 0 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +12%CYBERSHOKE · 17 maps
NukeBlack Phoenix ban
38%42%
Black Phoenix · 4 mapsnearly even -4%CYBERSHOKE · 8 maps
AnubisCYBERSHOKE ban
25%38%
Black Phoenix · 4 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +13%CYBERSHOKE · 4 maps
OverpassCYBERSHOKE ban
50%50%
Black Phoenix · 0 mapsnearly even +0%CYBERSHOKE · 8 maps
Cachepossible decider
56%60%
Black Phoenix · 5 mapsnearly even -4%CYBERSHOKE · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBlack Phoenix remove Ancient
2. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Anubis
3. PickBlack Phoenix take Dust2
4. PickCYBERSHOKE take Mirage
5. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Overpass
6. BanBlack Phoenix remove Nuke
DeciderCache (56% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:10
Black Phoenix 48%CYBERSHOKE 52%
The model gave 52% on CYBERSHOKE — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Nukeprediction correct11:13
Black Phoenix 43%CYBERSHOKE 57%
The model gave 57% on CYBERSHOKE — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE.
Dust2prediction missed8:13
Black Phoenix 72%CYBERSHOKE 28%
The model gave 72% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE.
Model check result
Model favoriteCYBERSHOKE · 53%
Series resultCYBERSHOKE 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3