CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Black Phoenix#57 in the world · win 2:1series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Enjoy#199 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Black Phoenix pick
63%50%
Black Phoenix · 4 mapsedge Black Phoenix +13%Enjoy · 8 maps
MirageEnjoy pick
40%58%
Black Phoenix · 1 mapedge Enjoy +18%Enjoy · 8 maps
AncientBlack Phoenix ban
50%58%
Black Phoenix · 0 mapsedge Enjoy +8%Enjoy · 8 maps
AnubisBlack Phoenix ban
33%63%
Black Phoenix · 2 mapsedge Enjoy +30%Enjoy · 4 maps
Cachepossible decider
40%67%
Black Phoenix · 1 mapedge Enjoy +27%Enjoy · 5 maps
InfernoEnjoy ban
57%43%
Black Phoenix · 3 mapsedge Black Phoenix +14%Enjoy · 3 maps
NukeEnjoy ban
50%38%
Black Phoenix · 0 mapsedge Black Phoenix +12%Enjoy · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBlack Phoenix remove Ancient
2. BanEnjoy remove Inferno
3. PickBlack Phoenix take Dust2
4. PickEnjoy take Mirage
5. BanEnjoy remove Nuke
6. BanBlack Phoenix remove Anubis
DeciderCache (40% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:9
Black Phoenix 23%Enjoy 77%
The model gave 77% on Enjoy — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Dust2prediction missed6:13
Black Phoenix 65%Enjoy 35%
The model gave 65% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by Enjoy.
Mirageprediction missed13:10
Black Phoenix 32%Enjoy 68%
The model gave 68% on Enjoy — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Model check result
Model favoriteEnjoy · 55%
Series resultBlack Phoenix 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3