CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Black Phoenix#57 in the world · win 2:0series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
G2 Ares#103 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Black Phoenix pick
56%42%
Black Phoenix · 41 mapedge Black Phoenix +14%G2 Ares · 20 maps
Miragepossible decider
44%43%
Black Phoenix · 23 mapsnearly even +1%G2 Ares · 24 maps
InfernoG2 Ares pick
61%60%
Black Phoenix · 14 mapsnearly even +1%G2 Ares · 26 maps
CacheG2 Ares ban
53%33%
Black Phoenix · 15 mapsedge Black Phoenix +20%G2 Ares · 11 maps
AnubisBlack Phoenix ban
24%50%
Black Phoenix · 17 mapsedge G2 Ares +26%G2 Ares · 6 maps
NukeG2 Ares ban
52%50%
Black Phoenix · 19 mapsnearly even +2%G2 Ares · 0 maps
AncientBlack Phoenix ban
40%53%
Black Phoenix · 1 mapedge G2 Ares +13%G2 Ares · 15 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBlack Phoenix remove Ancient
2. BanG2 Ares remove Nuke
3. PickBlack Phoenix take Dust2
4. PickG2 Ares take Inferno
5. BanG2 Ares remove Cache
6. BanBlack Phoenix remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (44% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:6
Black Phoenix 66%G2 Ares 34%
The model gave 66% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Infernoprediction missed13:7
Black Phoenix 48%G2 Ares 52%
The model gave 52% on G2 Ares — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlack Phoenix · 58%
Series resultBlack Phoenix 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2