CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Black Phoenix#57 in the world · win 2:0series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Iberian Soul#57 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Iberian Soul ban
63%50%
Black Phoenix · 58 mapsedge Black Phoenix +13%Iberian Soul · 0 maps
Miragepossible decider
48%54%
Black Phoenix · 27 mapsedge Iberian Soul +6%Iberian Soul · 9 maps
NukeIberian Soul pick
50%67%
Black Phoenix · 26 mapsedge Iberian Soul +17%Iberian Soul · 8 maps
CacheIberian Soul ban
46%33%
Black Phoenix · 20 mapsedge Black Phoenix +13%Iberian Soul · 8 maps
InfernoBlack Phoenix pick
65%62%
Black Phoenix · 19 mapsnearly even +3%Iberian Soul · 9 maps
AnubisBlack Phoenix ban
36%57%
Black Phoenix · 24 mapsedge Iberian Soul +21%Iberian Soul · 3 maps
AncientBlack Phoenix ban
33%53%
Black Phoenix · 2 mapsedge Iberian Soul +20%Iberian Soul · 13 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBlack Phoenix remove Ancient
2. BanIberian Soul remove Dust2
3. PickBlack Phoenix take Inferno
4. PickIberian Soul take Nuke
5. BanIberian Soul remove Cache
6. BanBlack Phoenix remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (48% / 54%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:6
Black Phoenix 48%Iberian Soul 52%
The model gave 52% on Iberian Soul — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Infernoprediction correct13:7
Black Phoenix 51%Iberian Soul 49%
The model gave 51% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Model check result
Model favoriteIberian Soul · 53%
Series resultBlack Phoenix 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2