CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Black Phoenix#57 in the world · win 2:0series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageMai Tai pick
50%46%
Black Phoenix · 4 mapsnearly even +4%Mai Tai · 9 maps
Defaultpossible decider
33%42%
Black Phoenix · 2 mapsedge Mai Tai +9%Mai Tai · 8 maps
Dust2Black Phoenix pick
60%50%
Black Phoenix · 6 mapsedge Black Phoenix +10%Mai Tai · 2 maps
AncientMai Tai ban
50%33%
Black Phoenix · 0 mapsedge Black Phoenix +17%Mai Tai · 5 maps
CacheBlack Phoenix ban
50%57%
Black Phoenix · 2 mapsedge Mai Tai +7%Mai Tai · 3 maps
AnubisBlack Phoenix ban
33%40%
Black Phoenix · 2 mapsedge Mai Tai +7%Mai Tai · 1 map
InfernoMai Tai ban
57%50%
Black Phoenix · 3 mapsedge Black Phoenix +7%Mai Tai · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBlack Phoenix remove Anubis
2. BanMai Tai remove Inferno
3. PickBlack Phoenix take Dust2
4. PickMai Tai take Mirage
5. BanMai Tai remove Ancient
6. BanBlack Phoenix remove Cache
DeciderDefault (33% / 42%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:5
Black Phoenix 51%Mai Tai 49%
The model gave 51% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Defaultprediction missed1:0
Black Phoenix 41%Mai Tai 59%
The model gave 59% on Mai Tai — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Model check result
Model favoriteMai Tai · 51%
Series resultBlack Phoenix 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2