CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bushido Wildcats#82 in the world · win 2:0series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Fortress#236 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Bushido Wildcats pick
71%50%
Bushido Wildcats · 20 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +21%Fortress · 2 maps
NukeFortress ban
40%33%
Bushido Wildcats · 11 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +7%Fortress · 5 maps
MirageFortress ban
67%29%
Bushido Wildcats · 8 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +38%Fortress · 3 maps
InfernoFortress pick
50%40%
Bushido Wildcats · 4 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +10%Fortress · 6 maps
AnubisBushido Wildcats ban
60%50%
Bushido Wildcats · 6 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +10%Fortress · 2 maps
Cachepossible decider
57%22%
Bushido Wildcats · 3 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +35%Fortress · 5 maps
AncientBushido Wildcats ban
40%50%
Bushido Wildcats · 1 mapedge Fortress +10%Fortress · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBushido Wildcats remove Ancient
2. BanFortress remove Mirage
3. PickBushido Wildcats take Dust2
4. PickFortress take Inferno
5. BanFortress remove Nuke
6. BanBushido Wildcats remove Anubis
DeciderCache (57% / 22%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:6
Bushido Wildcats 57%Fortress 43%
The model gave 57% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Mirageprediction correct13:8
Bushido Wildcats 85%Fortress 15%
The model gave 85% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Model check result
Model favoriteBushido Wildcats · 67%
Series resultBushido Wildcats 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2