CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bushido Wildcats#82 in the world · win 2:1series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Misa#115 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Bushido Wildcats pick
72%51%
Bushido Wildcats · 21 mapedge Bushido Wildcats +21%Misa · 31 map
MirageMisa ban
73%42%
Bushido Wildcats · 11 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +31%Misa · 22 maps
NukeBushido Wildcats ban
44%47%
Bushido Wildcats · 12 mapsnearly even -3%Misa · 15 maps
AnubisMisa pick
55%45%
Bushido Wildcats · 7 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +10%Misa · 18 maps
CacheBushido Wildcats ban
57%40%
Bushido Wildcats · 3 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +17%Misa · 11 maps
InfernoMisa ban
56%46%
Bushido Wildcats · 5 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +10%Misa · 9 maps
Defaultpossible decider
67%50%
Bushido Wildcats · 2 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +17%Misa · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBushido Wildcats remove Nuke
2. BanMisa remove Mirage
3. PickBushido Wildcats take Dust2
4. PickMisa take Anubis
5. BanMisa remove Inferno
6. BanBushido Wildcats remove Cache
DeciderDefault (67% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct9:13
Bushido Wildcats 49%Misa 51%
The model gave 51% on Misa — the map was taken by Misa.
Anubisprediction correct13:7
Bushido Wildcats 56%Misa 44%
The model gave 56% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Bushido Wildcats 67%Misa 33%
The model gave 67% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Model check result
Model favoriteBushido Wildcats · 51%
Series resultBushido Wildcats 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3