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GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Color#55 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
CYBERSHOKE Prospects#140 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Color pick
56%67%
Color · 5 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE Prospects +11%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 11 maps
AncientCYBERSHOKE Prospects pick
63%57%
Color · 4 mapsedge Color +6%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 10 maps
Anubispossible decider
57%73%
Color · 3 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE Prospects +16%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 7 maps
InfernoCYBERSHOKE Prospects ban
57%44%
Color · 3 mapsedge Color +13%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 5 maps
MirageColor ban
50%63%
Color · 4 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE Prospects +13%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 4 maps
NukeColor ban
50%40%
Color · 0 mapsedge Color +10%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 6 maps
CacheCYBERSHOKE Prospects ban
33%40%
Color · 2 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE Prospects +7%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanColor remove Nuke
2. BanCYBERSHOKE Prospects remove Cache
3. PickColor take Dust2
4. PickCYBERSHOKE Prospects take Ancient
5. BanCYBERSHOKE Prospects remove Inferno
6. BanColor remove Mirage
DeciderAnubis (57% / 73%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:5
Color 53%CYBERSHOKE Prospects 47%
The model gave 53% on Color — the map was taken by Color.
Dust2prediction missed13:8
Color 41%CYBERSHOKE Prospects 59%
The model gave 59% on CYBERSHOKE Prospects — the map was taken by Color.
Model check result
Model favoriteColor · 60%
Series resultColor 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2