1xBet FRAG Season 18 · BO3
result vs prediction
DEPO#120 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Bushido Wildcats#82 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Bushido Wildcats pick
53%71%
DEPO · 11 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +18%Bushido Wildcats · 47 maps
MirageDEPO pick
53%55%
DEPO · 11 mapsnearly even -2%Bushido Wildcats · 34 maps
NukeDEPO ban
50%50%
DEPO · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Bushido Wildcats · 30 maps
Cachepossible decider
60%59%
DEPO · 6 mapsnearly even +1%Bushido Wildcats · 18 maps
InfernoBushido Wildcats ban
50%44%
DEPO · 6 mapsedge DEPO +6%Bushido Wildcats · 12 maps
AnubisDEPO ban
50%50%
DEPO · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Bushido Wildcats · 12 maps
AncientBushido Wildcats ban
60%40%
DEPO · 11 mapsedge DEPO +20%Bushido Wildcats · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDEPO remove Nuke
2. BanBushido Wildcats remove Ancient
3. PickDEPO take Mirage
4. PickBushido Wildcats take Dust2
5. BanBushido Wildcats remove Inferno
6. BanDEPO remove Anubis
DeciderCache (60% / 59%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed5:13
DEPO 53%Bushido Wildcats 47%
The model gave 53% on DEPO — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Mirageprediction missed17:19
DEPO 51%Bushido Wildcats 49%
The model gave 51% on DEPO — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Model check result
Model favoriteBushido Wildcats · 57%
Series resultBushido Wildcats 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2