PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 West Asia Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
DEPO#87 in the world · win 2:0series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Revenge ban
53%50%
DEPO · 11 mapsnearly even +3%Revenge · 2 maps
MirageDEPO pick
56%40%
DEPO · 12 mapsedge DEPO +16%Revenge · 1 map
Ancientpossible decider
57%40%
DEPO · 10 mapsedge DEPO +17%Revenge · 1 map
InfernoRevenge ban
50%50%
DEPO · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Revenge · 0 maps
CacheRevenge pick
63%60%
DEPO · 4 mapsnearly even +3%Revenge · 1 map
AnubisDEPO ban
33%60%
DEPO · 2 mapsedge Revenge +27%Revenge · 1 map
DefaultDEPO ban
50%60%
DEPO · 0 mapsedge Revenge +10%Revenge · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDEPO remove Anubis
2. BanRevenge remove Inferno
3. PickDEPO take Mirage
4. PickRevenge take Cache
5. BanRevenge remove Dust2
6. BanDEPO remove Default
DeciderAncient (57% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:8
DEPO 50%Revenge 50%
The model gave 50% on Revenge — the map was taken by DEPO.
Ancientprediction correct13:9
DEPO 69%Revenge 31%
The model gave 69% on DEPO — the map was taken by DEPO.
Model check result
Model favoriteDEPO · 79%
Series resultDEPO 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2