KOKONISTER Pavlodar Ertis Cup 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
DEPO#120 in the world · win 13:3series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 13:3
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientZWAW ban
55%50%
DEPO · 7 mapsedge DEPO +5%ZWAW · 0 maps
Dust2DEPO ban
33%50%
DEPO · 5 mapsedge ZWAW +17%ZWAW · 0 maps
MirageDEPO ban
50%50%
DEPO · 4 mapsnearly even +0%ZWAW · 0 maps
OverpassZWAW ban
75%50%
DEPO · 4 mapsedge DEPO +25%ZWAW · 0 maps
Anubispossible decider
50%50%
DEPO · 2 mapsnearly even +0%ZWAW · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDEPO remove Dust2
2. BanZWAW remove Overpass
3. BanDEPO remove Mirage
4. BanZWAW remove Ancient
DeciderAnubis (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:3
DEPO 50%ZWAW 50%
The model gave 50% on DEPO — the map was taken by DEPO.
Model check result
Model favoriteDEPO · 66%
Series resultDEPO 13:3
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1