PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Oceania Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionDDeviousloss 0:2
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Finishers#222 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheFinishers ban
40%40%
Devious · 1 mapnearly even +0%Finishers · 1 map
Dust2Devious pick
40%40%
Devious · 1 mapnearly even +0%Finishers · 1 map
InfernoDevious ban
50%33%
Devious · 0 mapsedge Devious +17%Finishers · 2 maps
AnubisFinishers ban
50%40%
Devious · 0 mapsedge Devious +10%Finishers · 1 map
MirageDevious ban
50%40%
Devious · 0 mapsedge Devious +10%Finishers · 1 map
NukeFinishers pick
50%60%
Devious · 0 mapsedge Finishers +10%Finishers · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDevious remove Inferno
2. BanFinishers remove Anubis
3. PickDevious take Dust2
4. PickFinishers take Nuke
5. BanFinishers remove Cache
6. BanDevious remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct7:13
Devious 43%Finishers 57%
The model gave 57% on Finishers — the map was taken by Finishers.
Dust2prediction correct2:13
Devious 47%Finishers 53%
The model gave 53% on Finishers — the map was taken by Finishers.
Model check result
Model favoriteFinishers · 53%
Series resultFinishers 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2