ESL Challenger League Season 51 Oceania Cup 4 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Abyssal#165 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed2:13
Ding Cuts 53%Abyssal 47%
The model gave 53% on Ding Cuts — the map was taken by Abyssal.
Nukeprediction correct7:13
Ding Cuts 47%Abyssal 53%
The model gave 53% on Abyssal — the map was taken by Abyssal.
Model check result
Model favoriteAbyssal · 60%
Series resultAbyssal 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2