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CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
DONSTU#221 in the world · loss 0:2
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:2
SAW Youngsters#143 in the world · win 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisDONSTU pick
56%50%
DONSTU · 14 mapsedge DONSTU +6%SAW Youngsters · 0 maps
Dust2SAW Youngsters pick
40%50%
DONSTU · 11 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +10%SAW Youngsters · 0 maps
InfernoDONSTU ban
46%50%
DONSTU · 9 mapsnearly even -4%SAW Youngsters · 0 maps
Ancientpossible decider
45%50%
DONSTU · 7 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +5%SAW Youngsters · 0 maps
CacheSAW Youngsters ban
75%50%
DONSTU · 4 mapsedge DONSTU +25%SAW Youngsters · 0 maps
NukeDONSTU ban
43%50%
DONSTU · 3 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +7%SAW Youngsters · 0 maps
DefaultSAW Youngsters ban
60%50%
DONSTU · 1 mapedge DONSTU +10%SAW Youngsters · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDONSTU remove Nuke
2. BanSAW Youngsters remove Cache
3. PickDONSTU take Anubis
4. PickSAW Youngsters take Dust2
5. BanSAW Youngsters remove Default
6. BanDONSTU remove Inferno
DeciderAncient (45% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed8:13
DONSTU 58%SAW Youngsters 42%
The model gave 58% on DONSTU — the map was taken by SAW Youngsters.
Infernoprediction correct8:13
DONSTU 43%SAW Youngsters 57%
The model gave 57% on SAW Youngsters — the map was taken by SAW Youngsters.
Model check result
Model favoriteDONSTU · 53%
Series resultSAW Youngsters 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2