Svenska CS-Ligan 2026 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageENERGYULTRA pick
60%60%
ENERGYULTRA · 1 mapnearly even +0%roamsfiest · 1 map
Ancientroamsfiest ban
60%50%
ENERGYULTRA · 1 mapedge ENERGYULTRA +10%roamsfiest · 0 maps
Anubisroamsfiest pick
50%60%
ENERGYULTRA · 0 mapsedge roamsfiest +10%roamsfiest · 1 map
OverpassENERGYULTRA ban
50%40%
ENERGYULTRA · 0 mapsedge ENERGYULTRA +10%roamsfiest · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanENERGYULTRA remove Overpass
2. Banroamsfiest remove Ancient
3. PickENERGYULTRA take Mirage
4. Pickroamsfiest take Anubis
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed8:13
ENERGYULTRA 63%roamsfiest 37%
The model gave 63% on ENERGYULTRA — the map was taken by roamsfiest.
Mirageprediction missed13:6
ENERGYULTRA 47%roamsfiest 53%
The model gave 53% on roamsfiest — the map was taken by ENERGYULTRA.
Infernoprediction missed13:16
ENERGYULTRA 50%roamsfiest 50%
The model gave 50% on ENERGYULTRA — the map was taken by roamsfiest.
Model check result
Model favoriteENERGYULTRA · 50%
Series resultroamsfiest 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3