CCT 2026 Europe Series 11 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Enjoy#199 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageEnjoy pick
52%54%
Enjoy · 19 mapsnearly even -2%Saint Sinners · 9 maps
Dust2Saint Sinners pick
39%69%
Enjoy · 14 mapsedge Saint Sinners +30%Saint Sinners · 9 maps
AncientSaint Sinners ban
54%50%
Enjoy · 9 mapsnearly even +4%Saint Sinners · 8 maps
CacheSaint Sinners ban
56%40%
Enjoy · 14 mapsedge Enjoy +16%Saint Sinners · 1 map
Defaultpossible decider
71%42%
Enjoy · 3 mapsedge Enjoy +29%Saint Sinners · 8 maps
InfernoEnjoy ban
25%33%
Enjoy · 8 mapsedge Saint Sinners +8%Saint Sinners · 2 maps
NukeEnjoy ban
33%36%
Enjoy · 2 mapsnearly even -3%Saint Sinners · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEnjoy remove Nuke
2. BanSaint Sinners remove Cache
3. PickEnjoy take Mirage
4. PickSaint Sinners take Dust2
5. BanSaint Sinners remove Ancient
6. BanEnjoy remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (71% / 42%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:9
Enjoy 20%Saint Sinners 80%
The model gave 80% on Saint Sinners — the map was taken by Enjoy.
Ancientprediction missed8:13
Enjoy 57%Saint Sinners 43%
The model gave 57% on Enjoy — the map was taken by Saint Sinners.
Mirageprediction correct9:13
Enjoy 48%Saint Sinners 52%
The model gave 52% on Saint Sinners — the map was taken by Saint Sinners.
Model check result
Model favoriteEnjoy · 52%
Series resultSaint Sinners 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3