HyperX Retake Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
Eternal Fire#46 in the world · win 2:1series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:1
RBLS#93 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientEternal Fire pick
63%50%
Eternal Fire · 12 mapsedge Eternal Fire +13%RBLS · 0 maps
MirageRBLS ban
53%50%
Eternal Fire · 11 mapsnearly even +3%RBLS · 0 maps
Dust2RBLS pick
54%60%
Eternal Fire · 9 mapsedge RBLS +6%RBLS · 1 map
CacheRBLS ban
46%50%
Eternal Fire · 9 mapsnearly even -4%RBLS · 0 maps
InfernoEternal Fire ban
54%50%
Eternal Fire · 9 mapsnearly even +4%RBLS · 0 maps
AnubisEternal Fire ban
50%60%
Eternal Fire · 2 mapsedge RBLS +10%RBLS · 1 map
Defaultpossible decider
57%50%
Eternal Fire · 3 mapsedge Eternal Fire +7%RBLS · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEternal Fire remove Anubis
2. BanRBLS remove Mirage
3. PickEternal Fire take Ancient
4. PickRBLS take Dust2
5. BanRBLS remove Cache
6. BanEternal Fire remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (57% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed8:13
Eternal Fire 65%RBLS 35%
The model gave 65% on Eternal Fire — the map was taken by RBLS.
Anubisprediction missed13:9
Eternal Fire 37%RBLS 63%
The model gave 63% on RBLS — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Dust2prediction missed13:4
Eternal Fire 44%RBLS 56%
The model gave 56% on RBLS — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Model check result
Model favoriteEternal Fire · 72%
Series resultEternal Fire 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3