CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs predictionEex-6666#72 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Privateer#207 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukePrivateer pick
50%33%
ex-6666 · 0 mapsedge ex-6666 +17%Privateer · 20 maps
Ancientpossible decider
67%35%
ex-6666 · 2 mapsedge ex-6666 +32%Privateer · 13 maps
Dust2Privateer ban
63%23%
ex-6666 · 4 mapsedge ex-6666 +40%Privateer · 9 maps
Mirageex-6666 ban
40%36%
ex-6666 · 1 mapnearly even +4%Privateer · 7 maps
Defaultex-6666 pick
50%22%
ex-6666 · 0 mapsedge ex-6666 +28%Privateer · 5 maps
AnubisPrivateer ban
50%67%
ex-6666 · 2 mapsedge Privateer +17%Privateer · 2 maps
Infernoex-6666 ban
60%57%
ex-6666 · 1 mapnearly even +3%Privateer · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-6666 remove Mirage
2. BanPrivateer remove Dust2
3. Pickex-6666 take Default
4. PickPrivateer take Nuke
5. BanPrivateer remove Anubis
6. Banex-6666 remove Inferno
DeciderAncient (67% / 35%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:5
ex-6666 81%Privateer 19%
The model gave 81% on ex-6666 — the map was taken by ex-6666.
Nukeprediction correct13:9
ex-6666 64%Privateer 36%
The model gave 64% on ex-6666 — the map was taken by ex-6666.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-6666 · 72%
Series resultex-6666 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2