BetBoom Storm Season 4 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Defaultex-GUARA ban
33%50%
ex-GUARA · 2 mapsedge MEIA NOITE +17%MEIA NOITE · 0 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%40%
ex-GUARA · 0 mapsedge ex-GUARA +10%MEIA NOITE · 1 map
CacheMEIA NOITE ban
50%40%
ex-GUARA · 0 mapsedge ex-GUARA +10%MEIA NOITE · 1 map
Dust2MEIA NOITE pick
50%60%
ex-GUARA · 0 mapsedge MEIA NOITE +10%MEIA NOITE · 1 map
Infernoex-GUARA ban
50%60%
ex-GUARA · 0 mapsedge MEIA NOITE +10%MEIA NOITE · 1 map
Mirageex-GUARA pick
50%40%
ex-GUARA · 0 mapsedge ex-GUARA +10%MEIA NOITE · 1 map
NukeMEIA NOITE ban
50%40%
ex-GUARA · 0 mapsedge ex-GUARA +10%MEIA NOITE · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-GUARA remove Default
2. BanMEIA NOITE remove Cache
3. Pickex-GUARA take Mirage
4. PickMEIA NOITE take Dust2
5. BanMEIA NOITE remove Nuke
6. Banex-GUARA remove Inferno
DeciderAncient (50% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
ex-GUARA 33%MEIA NOITE 67%
The model gave 67% on MEIA NOITE — the map was taken by MEIA NOITE.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-GUARA · 55%
Series resultMEIA NOITE 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1