CCT 2026 South America Series 4 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Grêmio#201 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-KRÜ pick
50%50%
ex-KRÜ · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Grêmio · 0 maps
NukeGrêmio ban
67%50%
ex-KRÜ · 5 mapsedge ex-KRÜ +17%Grêmio · 0 maps
Ancientex-KRÜ ban
43%50%
ex-KRÜ · 3 mapsedge Grêmio +7%Grêmio · 0 maps
DefaultGrêmio pick
29%50%
ex-KRÜ · 3 mapsedge Grêmio +21%Grêmio · 0 maps
Infernopossible decider
29%50%
ex-KRÜ · 3 mapsedge Grêmio +21%Grêmio · 0 maps
MirageGrêmio ban
43%50%
ex-KRÜ · 3 mapsedge Grêmio +7%Grêmio · 0 maps
Overpassex-KRÜ ban
40%50%
ex-KRÜ · 1 mapedge Grêmio +10%Grêmio · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-KRÜ remove Ancient
2. BanGrêmio remove Nuke
3. Pickex-KRÜ take Dust2
4. PickGrêmio take Default
5. BanGrêmio remove Mirage
6. Banex-KRÜ remove Overpass
DeciderInferno (29% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
ex-KRÜ 29%Grêmio 71%
The model gave 71% on Grêmio — the map was taken by Grêmio.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-KRÜ · 59%
Series resultGrêmio 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1