1win Private Club Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
EYEBALLERS#43 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 0:2
K27#44 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
53%53%
EYEBALLERS · 11 mapsnearly even +0%K27 · 15 maps
CacheEYEBALLERS ban
22%46%
EYEBALLERS · 5 mapsedge K27 +24%K27 · 20 maps
MirageK27 pick
36%67%
EYEBALLERS · 7 mapsedge K27 +31%K27 · 17 maps
NukeEYEBALLERS ban
43%43%
EYEBALLERS · 3 mapsnearly even +0%K27 · 17 maps
Dust2K27 ban
33%42%
EYEBALLERS · 5 mapsedge K27 +9%K27 · 8 maps
AnubisEYEBALLERS pick
67%64%
EYEBALLERS · 5 mapsnearly even +3%K27 · 7 maps
InfernoK27 ban
50%50%
EYEBALLERS · 6 mapsnearly even +0%K27 · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEYEBALLERS remove Cache
2. BanK27 remove Inferno
3. PickEYEBALLERS take Anubis
4. PickK27 take Mirage
5. BanK27 remove Dust2
6. BanEYEBALLERS remove Nuke
DeciderAncient (53% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct7:13
EYEBALLERS 47%K27 53%
The model gave 53% on K27 — the map was taken by K27.
Anubisprediction missed9:13
EYEBALLERS 56%K27 44%
The model gave 56% on EYEBALLERS — the map was taken by K27.
Model check result
Model favoriteK27 · 61%
Series resultK27 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2