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BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Fake do Biru#93 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Galorys#68 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Fake do Biru pick
60%55%
Fake do Biru · 11 mapsedge Fake do Biru +5%Galorys · 7 maps
NukeFake do Biru ban
71%45%
Fake do Biru · 3 mapsedge Fake do Biru +26%Galorys · 7 maps
MirageGalorys pick
38%67%
Fake do Biru · 4 mapsedge Galorys +29%Galorys · 5 maps
AncientFake do Biru ban
50%55%
Fake do Biru · 0 mapsedge Galorys +5%Galorys · 7 maps
Overpasspossible decider
60%40%
Fake do Biru · 1 mapedge Fake do Biru +20%Galorys · 6 maps
AnubisGalorys ban
43%50%
Fake do Biru · 3 mapsedge Galorys +7%Galorys · 0 maps
InfernoGalorys ban
57%50%
Fake do Biru · 3 mapsedge Fake do Biru +7%Galorys · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFake do Biru remove Ancient
2. BanGalorys remove Inferno
3. PickFake do Biru take Dust2
4. PickGalorys take Mirage
5. BanGalorys remove Anubis
6. BanFake do Biru remove Nuke
DeciderOverpass (60% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:4
Fake do Biru 73%Galorys 27%
The model gave 73% on Fake do Biru — the map was taken by Fake do Biru.
Dust2prediction missed11:13
Fake do Biru 58%Galorys 42%
The model gave 58% on Fake do Biru — the map was taken by Galorys.
Overpassprediction missed10:13
Fake do Biru 69%Galorys 31%
The model gave 69% on Fake do Biru — the map was taken by Galorys.
Model check result
Model favoriteGalorys · 50%
Series resultGalorys 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3