CS Asia Championships 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Falcons#5 in the world · win 2:0series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Legacy#7 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Falcons pick
67%71%
Falcons · 8 mapsnearly even -4%Legacy · 3 maps
AncientLegacy ban
67%38%
Falcons · 5 mapsedge Falcons +29%Legacy · 4 maps
MirageLegacy pick
50%75%
Falcons · 4 mapsedge Legacy +25%Legacy · 4 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%63%
Falcons · 2 mapsedge Legacy +13%Legacy · 4 maps
InfernoFalcons ban
50%57%
Falcons · 2 mapsedge Legacy +7%Legacy · 3 maps
AnubisLegacy ban
50%60%
Falcons · 0 mapsedge Legacy +10%Legacy · 1 map
OverpassFalcons ban
50%60%
Falcons · 0 mapsedge Legacy +10%Legacy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFalcons remove Overpass
2. BanLegacy remove Ancient
3. PickFalcons take Dust2
4. PickLegacy take Mirage
5. BanLegacy remove Anubis
6. BanFalcons remove Inferno
DeciderNuke (50% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:7
Falcons 42%Legacy 58%
The model gave 58% on Legacy — the map was taken by Falcons.
Ancientprediction correct13:9
Falcons 79%Legacy 21%
The model gave 79% on Falcons — the map was taken by Falcons.
Model check result
Model favoriteFalcons · 74%
Series resultFalcons 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2