NODWIN Clutch Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
FAVBET#128 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Oxuji#167 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
DefaultFAVBET ban
40%50%
FAVBET · 1 mapedge Oxuji +10%Oxuji · 0 maps
Dust2FAVBET pick
50%60%
FAVBET · 0 mapsedge Oxuji +10%Oxuji · 1 map
NukeOxuji ban
50%60%
FAVBET · 0 mapsedge Oxuji +10%Oxuji · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFAVBET remove Default
2. BanOxuji remove Nuke
3. PickFAVBET take Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
FAVBET 40%Oxuji 60%
The model gave 60% on Oxuji — the map was taken by Oxuji.
Model check result
Model favoriteOxuji · 58%
Series resultOxuji 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1