Roman Imperium Cup IX · BO3
result vs prediction
FaZe#14 in the world · win 2:1series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Sangal#48 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheFaZe pick
58%64%
FaZe · 8 mapsedge Sangal +6%Sangal · 10 maps
NukeSangal pick
67%80%
FaZe · 5 mapsedge Sangal +13%Sangal · 11 maps
Dust2Sangal ban
44%42%
FaZe · 5 mapsnearly even +2%Sangal · 8 maps
MirageFaZe ban
44%50%
FaZe · 5 mapsedge Sangal +6%Sangal · 8 maps
AncientSangal ban
36%56%
FaZe · 7 mapsedge Sangal +20%Sangal · 5 maps
AnubisFaZe ban
40%64%
FaZe · 1 mapedge Sangal +24%Sangal · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFaZe remove Mirage
2. BanSangal remove Dust2
3. PickFaZe take Cache
4. PickSangal take Nuke
5. BanSangal remove Ancient
6. BanFaZe remove Anubis
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:16
FaZe 56%Sangal 44%
The model gave 56% on FaZe — the map was taken by Sangal.
Nukeprediction missed13:7
FaZe 31%Sangal 69%
The model gave 69% on Sangal — the map was taken by FaZe.
Cacheprediction missed13:8
FaZe 44%Sangal 56%
The model gave 56% on Sangal — the map was taken by FaZe.
Model check result
Model favoriteFaZe · 75%
Series resultFaZe 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3