PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Open Qualifier 2 · BO1
result vs prediction
FOKUS#40 in the world · loss 10:13series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 10:13
ASTRAL#71 in the world · win 13:10The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
53%60%
FOKUS · 11 mapsedge ASTRAL +7%ASTRAL · 11 maps
NukeFOKUS ban
47%54%
FOKUS · 11 mapsedge ASTRAL +7%ASTRAL · 9 maps
Dust2ASTRAL ban
43%44%
FOKUS · 10 mapsnearly even -1%ASTRAL · 5 maps
MirageASTRAL ban
44%57%
FOKUS · 5 mapsedge ASTRAL +13%ASTRAL · 3 maps
AnubisFOKUS ban
40%50%
FOKUS · 1 mapedge ASTRAL +10%ASTRAL · 6 maps
InfernoFOKUS ban
44%50%
FOKUS · 5 mapsedge ASTRAL +6%ASTRAL · 2 maps
CacheASTRAL ban
71%57%
FOKUS · 3 mapsedge FOKUS +14%ASTRAL · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFOKUS remove Anubis
2. BanASTRAL remove Mirage
3. BanFOKUS remove Inferno
4. BanASTRAL remove Cache
5. BanFOKUS remove Nuke
6. BanASTRAL remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (53% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct10:13
FOKUS 43%ASTRAL 57%
The model gave 57% on ASTRAL — the map was taken by ASTRAL.
Model check result
Model favoriteFOKUS · 64%
Series resultASTRAL 10:13
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1