BLAST Open Porto 2026 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukepaiN pick
60%60%
FURIA · 6 mapsnearly even +0%paiN · 11 maps
Dust2FURIA ban
55%50%
FURIA · 7 mapsedge FURIA +5%paiN · 4 maps
InfernopaiN ban
50%45%
FURIA · 4 mapsedge FURIA +5%paiN · 7 maps
MirageFURIA pick
60%50%
FURIA · 6 mapsedge FURIA +10%paiN · 4 maps
AnubisFURIA ban
29%50%
FURIA · 3 mapsedge paiN +21%paiN · 2 maps
Overpasspossible decider
71%50%
FURIA · 3 mapsedge FURIA +21%paiN · 2 maps
AncientpaiN ban
63%50%
FURIA · 4 mapsedge FURIA +13%paiN · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFURIA remove Anubis
2. BanpaiN remove Ancient
3. PickFURIA take Mirage
4. PickpaiN take Nuke
5. BanpaiN remove Inferno
6. BanFURIA remove Dust2
DeciderOverpass (71% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:2
FURIA 57%paiN 43%
The model gave 57% on FURIA — the map was taken by FURIA.
Cacheprediction correct13:6
FURIA 53%paiN 47%
The model gave 53% on FURIA — the map was taken by FURIA.
Model check result
Model favoriteFURIA · 83%
Series resultFURIA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2