BLAST Open Porto 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
FURIA#4 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Vitality#2 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
58%54%
FURIA · 8 mapsnearly even +4%Vitality · 9 maps
NukeVitality pick
60%73%
FURIA · 6 mapsedge Vitality +13%Vitality · 7 maps
MirageFURIA pick
64%44%
FURIA · 7 mapsedge FURIA +20%Vitality · 5 maps
AnubisFURIA ban
29%30%
FURIA · 3 mapsnearly even -1%Vitality · 6 maps
InfernoFURIA ban
50%67%
FURIA · 4 mapsedge Vitality +17%Vitality · 5 maps
CacheVitality ban
50%50%
FURIA · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Vitality · 2 maps
AncientVitality ban
56%50%
FURIA · 5 mapsedge FURIA +6%Vitality · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFURIA remove Anubis
2. BanVitality remove Ancient
3. PickFURIA take Mirage
4. PickVitality take Nuke
5. BanVitality remove Cache
6. BanFURIA remove Inferno
DeciderDust2 (58% / 54%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:6
FURIA 33%Vitality 67%
The model gave 67% on Vitality — the map was taken by FURIA.
Cacheprediction missed11:13
FURIA 53%Vitality 47%
The model gave 53% on FURIA — the map was taken by Vitality.
Dust2prediction missed4:13
FURIA 55%Vitality 45%
The model gave 55% on FURIA — the map was taken by Vitality.
Model check result
Model favoriteFURIA · 55%
Series resultVitality 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3