CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Ares#103 in the world · win 2:0series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
DONSTU#221 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageDONSTU ban
55%50%
G2 Ares · 7 mapsedge G2 Ares +5%DONSTU · 0 maps
Dust2G2 Ares pick
63%50%
G2 Ares · 4 mapsedge G2 Ares +13%DONSTU · 2 maps
InfernoG2 Ares ban
57%43%
G2 Ares · 3 mapsedge G2 Ares +14%DONSTU · 3 maps
AncientDONSTU ban
50%60%
G2 Ares · 2 mapsedge DONSTU +10%DONSTU · 1 map
AnubisG2 Ares ban
50%67%
G2 Ares · 0 mapsedge DONSTU +17%DONSTU · 2 maps
OverpassDONSTU pick
50%50%
G2 Ares · 2 mapsnearly even +0%DONSTU · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanG2 Ares remove Anubis
2. BanDONSTU remove Mirage
3. PickG2 Ares take Dust2
4. PickDONSTU take Overpass
5. BanDONSTU remove Ancient
6. BanG2 Ares remove Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed16:13
G2 Ares 31%DONSTU 69%
The model gave 69% on DONSTU — the map was taken by G2 Ares.
Infernoprediction correct13:8
G2 Ares 67%DONSTU 33%
The model gave 67% on G2 Ares — the map was taken by G2 Ares.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Ares · 58%
Series resultG2 Ares 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2