Esports World Cup 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
G2#7 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 1:2
FURIA#4 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageFURIA pick
69%60%
G2 · 9 mapsedge G2 +9%FURIA · 6 maps
Dust2G2 ban
44%63%
G2 · 5 mapsedge FURIA +19%FURIA · 4 maps
InfernoG2 pick
78%50%
G2 · 5 mapsedge G2 +28%FURIA · 4 maps
Overpasspossible decider
67%71%
G2 · 5 mapsnearly even -4%FURIA · 3 maps
AncientFURIA ban
30%60%
G2 · 6 mapsedge FURIA +30%FURIA · 1 map
AnubisFURIA ban
25%33%
G2 · 4 mapsedge FURIA +8%FURIA · 2 maps
NukeG2 ban
50%63%
G2 · 0 mapsedge FURIA +13%FURIA · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanG2 remove Nuke
2. BanFURIA remove Ancient
3. PickG2 take Inferno
4. PickFURIA take Mirage
5. BanFURIA remove Anubis
6. BanG2 remove Dust2
DeciderOverpass (67% / 71%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct3:13
G2 24%FURIA 76%
The model gave 76% on FURIA — the map was taken by FURIA.
Anubisprediction missed13:3
G2 37%FURIA 63%
The model gave 63% on FURIA — the map was taken by G2.
Dust2prediction correct4:13
G2 32%FURIA 68%
The model gave 68% on FURIA — the map was taken by FURIA.
Model check result
Model favoriteFURIA · 72%
Series resultFURIA 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3